Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: With the election slipping away, Trump reaches for a fantasy

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That they’re.

Daily Beast:

‘He’s Scared of Shedding’—Trump Goes Into Hyperdrive to Delegitimize The Election

As a lot of the political world went into an uproar over Donald Trump floating the concept of delaying the November election, contained in the president’s orbit, his Thursday morning tweet suggesting simply that was seen as one thing far narrower and extra strategically centered.

The president isn’t actually attempting to delay the vote. He’s attempting to preemptively delegitimize the likely results.

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Politico:

U.S. suffered worst quarterly contraction on document as virus ravages economic system

When the economic system was tumbling within the second quarter, Trump pumped up the third quarter. Now the excessive hopes are slowly deflating.

The U.S. economic system crashed in historic trend this 12 months — shrinking at a virtually 33 % annualized tempo within the second quarter — because the coronavirus pandemic ravaged companies and despatched joblessness hovering. The query now for President Donald Trump, trailing within the polls and dealing with a frightening reelection effort, is simply how a lot circumstances can snap again within the months main as much as Election Day.

No less than for the second, the spike in Covid-19 instances, the potential for contemporary hassle this fall and a bitter combat over easy methods to pump extra federal cash into the ailing economic system recommend the sharp bounce-back Trump is relying on could not present up in a manner he envisions.

Bloomberg:

Does $600 a Week Make Individuals Shirk? Proof Is No

Yale examine challenges Republican principle that expanded jobless advantages discourage individuals from working.

It’s a bit shocking that additional advantages don’t appear to boost unemployment, contemplating that many staff get a better revenue from unemployment insurance coverage than they acquired from working. One motive might be that staff who stop reasonably than being laid off aren’t eligible for unemployment insurance coverage. They’re additionally required to maintain on the lookout for work, they usually can lose their advantages in the event that they refuse a “appropriate” provide. On prime of that, staff presumably notice that an employer’s paycheck is a greater long-term wager than a examine from the federal government that’s designed to be non permanent.

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Henry Olsen/WaPo:

Sorry, Republicans. The polls actually are that dangerous.

Many Republicans are responding with disbelief to polls displaying President Trump effectively behind former vp Joe Biden nationally and in all of the swing states. Some say the polls are undercounting Republicans, whereas others cite 2016 as proof that the polls are simply incorrect. Sadly, neither rationalization holds water.

The proof that polls undercount Republicans is slim at greatest. 5 of the seven matchup polls between Trump and Biden within the RealClearPolitics average as of Tuesday morning have cross-tabulations that present the share of Republicans of their samples. These shares vary from a low of 24 % to a excessive of 36 %, with a mean of 31 %. That’s not far beneath the 33 % GOP share within the 2016 presidential election exit polls, and the distinction between the 2 can’t clarify Trump’s huge deficit.

See additionally Nate Cohn/NY Occasions:

Are the Polls Lacking Republican Voters?

Registered Republicans had been really extra possible than registered Democrats to reply to the Occasions/Siena survey.

If polls utilizing partisan traits from voter registration information confirmed a basically totally different race, this might be an indication that the opposite polls had been biased on partisanship. However the latest surveys which can be weighted by social gathering registration or main vote historical past provide almost the identical image as polls that aren’t. Arguably, they provide an image even worse for Republicans.

Dave Grohl/Atlantic:

In Protection of Our Lecturers

In relation to the daunting query of reopening colleges, America’s educators deserve a plan, not a lure.

It takes a sure sort of individual to dedicate their life to this troublesome and often-thankless job. I do know as a result of I used to be raised in a neighborhood of them. I’ve mowed their lawns, painted their flats, even babysat their youngsters, and I’m satisfied that they’re as important as some other important staff. Some even elevate rock stars! Tom Morello of Rage In opposition to the Machine, Adam Levine, Josh Groban, and Haim are all youngsters of faculty staff (with hopefully extra academically rewarding outcomes than mine). Over time, I’ve come to note that lecturers share a particular bond, as a result of there aren’t too many individuals who really perceive their distinctive challenges—challenges that go far past simply pen and paper. Right this moment, these challenges might imply life or demise for some.

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AP:

Misinformation on coronavirus is proving extremely contagious

Because the world races to discover a vaccine and a therapy for COVID-19, there may be seemingly no antidote in sight for the burgeoning outbreak of coronavirus conspiracy theories, hoaxes, anti-mask myths and sham cures.

The phenomenon, unfolding largely on social media, escalated this week when President Donald Trump retweeted a false video about an anti-malaria drug being a treatment for the virus and it was revealed that Russian intelligence is spreading disinformation concerning the disaster via English-language web sites.

Consultants fear the torrent of dangerous data is dangerously undermining efforts to gradual the virus, whose demise toll within the U.S. hit 150,000 Wednesday, by far the best on this planet, in response to the tally saved by Johns Hopkins College. Over a half-million individuals have died in the remainder of the world.

Katherine Eban/Self-importance Truthful:

How Jared Kushner’s Secret Testing Plan “Went Poof Into Skinny Air”

This spring, a group working beneath the president’s son-in-law produced a plan for an aggressive, coordinated nationwide COVID-19 response that might have introduced the pandemic beneath management. So why did the White Home spike it in favor of a shambolic 50-state response

Most troubling of all, maybe, was a sentiment the professional mentioned a member of Kushner’s group expressed: that as a result of the virus had hit blue states hardest, a nationwide plan was pointless and wouldn’t make sense politically. “The political of us believed that as a result of it was going to be relegated to Democratic states, that they might blame these governors, and that will be an efficient political technique,” mentioned the professional.

That logic could have swayed Kushner. “It was very clear that Jared was in the end the choice maker as to what [plan] was going to come back out,” the professional mentioned.

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