Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: What the polls let you know and what they do not

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WaPo:

Coronavirus ravaged Florida, as Ron DeSantis sidelined scientists and adopted Trump

“I by no means acquired details about what occurred with my concepts or outcomes,” stated Thomas Hladish, a College of Florida analysis scientist whose common calls with the well being division ended June 29. “However I did hear the governor say the fashions had been mistaken about all the pieces.”

DeSantis (R) this month traveled to Miami to carry a roundtable with South Florida mayors, whose area was struggling as a novel coronavirus sizzling spot. However the Republican mayor of Hialeah was shut out, weeks after saying the governor “hasn’t done much” for a metropolis disproportionately affected by the virus.

Because the virus unfold uncontrolled in Florida, decision-making grew to become more and more formed by politics and divorced from scientific proof, in keeping with interviews with 64 present and former state and administration officers, well being directors, epidemiologists, political operatives and hospital executives. The disaster in Florida, these observers say, has revealed the shortcomings of a response constructed on shifting metrics, influenced by a small group of advisers and tethered at each stage to the Trump administration, which has no unified plan for addressing the nationwide well being emergency however has pushed for states to reopen.

See, in case you assume the virus is a messaging drawback, you’re going to get it mistaken. Very mistaken. And also you’re going to maintain getting it mistaken.

July 25 new cases normalized by population
Don’t open the bars. Wherever. Indoor + small house + talking loudly + time = lethal unfold.
[Numbers subject to testing backlog, so might be worse than shown.]

Folks know this. Once more, the Q-poll:

Trying again, 61 % of voters suppose Governor Ron DeSantis reopened the economic system “too rapidly.” Thirty-one % suppose he reopened “at about the suitable tempo” and 6 % say he reopened “too slowly.”

When it comes, nevertheless, as to if voters suppose the governor ought to situation a stay-at-home order for the state to gradual the unfold of the coronavirus, they’re cut up. Forty-nine % say sure, whereas 48 % say no.

And once more, the WaPo:

Trump requested DeSantis in a cellphone name in Could whether or not he would require masks for the conference and whether or not the virus can be an issue, in keeping with an individual with information of the dialog. DeSantis stated he wouldn’t require masks and the virus wouldn’t be a serious drawback in August in Florida.

Folks know who responsible, and so they know why. Polls? That’s simply selecting up on the main points.

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You will have seen this Eric Levitz/New York journal piece already:

The GOP’s Procrastination on COVID Aid Is Inexcusable

 Even probably the most bullish financial forecasters didn’t rule out the persistence of double-digit unemployment this August as a major chance. So why then did McConnell wait till federal unemployment advantages had been about to run out to begin crafting one other stimulus package deal? And why did Republicans fail to rally behind his outline this week, forcing the bulk chief to desert the invoice’s rollout on Thursday morning?

The reply to each questions seems to be this: Many congressional Republicans earnestly consider that the rationale unemployment is excessive — in the course of an uncontained pandemic that’s killing 1,000 People a day — is that the extreme generosity of federal advantages has rendered the unemployed unwilling to work. [my bold]

See, whenever you suppose the little persons are failing you, the one resolution is to fail them. 

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Yeah, that Godwin. However it’s all of a chunk. The Republican gentry are actually aggravated with the voters. 

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EpidemioLakshmy/twitter:

Higher late than by no means – my thread on the US public well being (PH) system.
This does not cowl all the pieces, however does present an overview of how funding & constructions work with one another.

We study in public well being faculty that every one public well being is native.
We have seen this in how the pandemic has performed out. Native components, native management has mattered so a lot on this.

Native well being jurisdictions (LHJ) are tasked with delivering applications & companies to guard the general public from infectious (flu, TB, Syphilis) & persistent (most cancers, diabetes) illness & environmental (e.g., lead) threats.
Marvel how flu pictures are free/low-cost? PH $$ at work!

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WaPo:

Held again

As dad and mom understand how badly the U.S. botched the following faculty 12 months, we’re livid

We had been, and are, extremely fortunate: None of us, and nobody in our prolonged household, has gotten the virus. My partner and I are in a position to do our jobs from residence, although in a single case with a major pay lower. We’ve broadband entry and sufficient purposeful units to do Zoom faculty and work on the identical time. Nonetheless, that semester of on-line education was a depressing expertise that we’d all give something by no means to need to repeat.

Almost 5 months later, although, it’s develop into obvious that the Trump administration’s abject negligence means we’re about to repeat it anyway. The implicit cut price of the spring was that if everybody complied with the shutdowns, the isolation, the social distancing, the working-while-parenting disasters and the remainder, the federal government would use that point to construct sufficient testing, tracing and public well being infrastructure in order that college students might safely return to high school in individual within the fall.

As an alternative, having completely didn’t comprise the virus, the administration is now using the artful tactic of making an attempt to draw attention away from the pandemic — as if we might be distracted out of noticing that we are able to now not safely go away our houses, now we have no functioning public establishments (libraries, museums, colleges), now we have lost greater than 139,000 American lives, and we’re nicely on our means into the worst financial downturn because the Nice Despair.

In case you inform me that there’s a lifetime left in politics, and simply ignore the polls, I’ll ask you what’s going to reverse the opinion of voters coping with pandemics, the economic system and faculty closing?

You suppose an advert will try this? An look on barstool sports activities?  Firing the marketing campaign supervisor and canceling the Florida conference after canceling the NC conference? Portland cosplay?

I don’t suppose so. See, it’s one factor to say the polls can change and it’s fairly one other to suppose persons are going to simply shrug and say, oh nicely, 4 extra years of this (or worse).

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Trump supporters aren’t shy at all, tbh. 

Axios:

2020 consideration tracker: Biden succeeding in making it about Trump

Even after rising from his Delaware basement, Joe Biden has consumed much less and fewer of the nationwide dialog whereas his polling lead over President Trump has swelled, in keeping with information from NewsWhip offered solely to Axios.

Why it issues: Trump’s punches aren’t touchdown. Biden is avoiding heightened scrutiny whereas Trump absorbs the blowback for his responses to nationwide crises.

Welcome to actuality. Trump’s the incumbent. It’s not 2016.

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David Rothkopf/USA At the moment:

America’s nationwide greatness myths are shattering. Can they survive? Ought to they?

Moderately than restore some idealized, jingoistic model of who we’re, let’s use this painful second of self-doubt to remake the fact of America.

The world is just not, we’re reminded, as we believed it was. Not solely is that unsettling, it forces us to ask, what else about our bedrock beliefs about life might sometime flip to quicksand?

These are the rationale some howl so loudly when these myths start to crumble, when fact forces itself into our fastidiously cultivated notion of historical past. However you will need to hear these howls as wholesome. They’re the visceral reactions to the rising pains brought on by progress.

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